Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Casper Ruud has shown superior performance with his second serve, winning 46.20% of points compared to Matteo Berrettini's 41.28%.
• Ruud also leads in return game performance, capturing 46.81% of opponents' second serve points, while Berrettini stands at 40.55%.
• Both players have comparable first serve return stats with Ruud at 24.80% and Berrettini at 24.49%.
• Under pressure, Berrettini excels, saving 63.74% of breakpoints compared to Ruud's 53.00%.
• Over the past year, Ruud has a higher match win rate with 64.15% victories, whereas Berrettini has won 54.05% of his matches.
• Ruud’s expertise lies on Clay surfaces with a 70% win rate, whereas Berrettini prefers Grass, with a 78% win rate.
• In top-level contests, Ruud has played more at the Masters series, achieving a 63.64% win rate, while Berrettini has a balanced 50% on the Main tour.
• In direct clashes, Ruud leads with five wins to Berrettini's three in their eight encounters, winning 12 sets to Berrettini’s nine.
• Their last face-off was on clay in Rome, where Ruud claimed victory due to Berrettini retiring at 7-5, 2-0.
• Ruud has faced slightly lower-ranked opponents on average (rank 65.32) compared to Berrettini’s average opponent rank of 54.54 over the last year.
• In matches that go the distance, Ruud boasts a 56% win rate in deciding sets, outperforming Berrettini’s 46%.

Editorial Prediction (September 26, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match between Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini draws near, recent statistics offer some insights into the likely outcome. Ruud has demonstrated stronger performance in both his second serve and return games over the past six months. These factors are often crucial in predicting match winners.

While Berrettini shows greater resilience under pressure, saving breakpoints more effectively, Ruud surpasses him in overall match win rates in the last year. Direct head-to-head statistics also favor Ruud, who has emerged victorious more times against Berrettini.

Surface preference plays a significant role, with Ruud excelling on Clay—similar to the surface of their last encounter, which Ruud won. However, one should note Berrettini’s potential on faster surfaces.

Given Ruud’s superior recent form, especially in return games, and their head-to-head record, he appears more poised to win the upcoming match.